Economic & Earnings Commentary

We expect an eventful week in the markets, with Q2 earnings season hitting high gear, a slew of new economic reports hitting the tape starting tomorrow, and a meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) deciding new monetary policy, capped with a press conference from Fed Chair Jay Powell on Wednesday. Currently, market indexes are starting off slowly: the Dow -100 points, the S&P -15 and the Nasdaq -40.

This week brings us not the most amount of new earnings reports overall, but some of the biggest companies in the world will be reporting: Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Apple(AAPL), Facebook (FB) and Amazon (AMZN). After the closing bell today, we’ll hear from Tesla(TSLA), which has already reported Q2 deliveries of just over 200K vehicles in the quarter, +8% quarter over quarter.

We expect the Zacks Rank #3 (Hold)-rated Tesla to make 90 cents per share (+104.55% year over year) on revenues of $11.39 billion (+89% yoy). The company has only missed once over its last seven quarters, but underperformed in 10 of 15 quarters previously. Shares are down 11.8% year to date, and have flagged from their all-time highs posted in January, but +109% from a year ago.

Ahead of today’s opening bell, Lockheed Martin (LMT) put out modest beats on both top and bottom lines this morning in its Q2 earnings report: $6.52 per share beat the Zacks consensus by a penny on $17.03 billion, which outpaced the $16.94 billion estimate. Aeronautics grew 3% in the quarter while Missiles and Fire Control grew 5%. Full-year guidance was in-line with estimates, but shares dropped 1.25% on the news.

Toymaker Hasbro (HAS) posted a big beat in its Q2 earnings report this morning, more than doubling earnings expectations to $1.05 per share on $1.32 billion in sales, easily surpassing the estimated $1.19 billion. This represents 54% earnings growth year over year, and roughly +5000% on the earnings side. Its Entertainment division grew 47% in the quarter.

Once regular trading commences today, we expect a fresh New Home Sales report for June, where 795K seasonally adjusted, annualized units are estimated to have been sold last month. This is down a smidge from the even 800K new home sales reported in May. Last week, Existing Home Sales fell slightly short of estimates to 5.86 million, but improved from the previous month’s 5.78 million.

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Recent Highlights

  • Existing Home Sales increased to 5.86 million units (07/22)
  • Leading indicators increased by 0.7% (07/22)
  • Initial Claims increased to 419,000 (07/22)
  • Crude Inventories increased 0.9 million bpd (07/21)

Upcoming Releases

  • New Home Sales (07/26 at 10:00 AM EST)
  • Durable Orders (07/27 at 8:30 AM EST)
  • Case-Shiller Home Prices (07/27 at 9:00 AM EST)
  • Consumer Confidence (07/27 at 10:00 AM EST)

Market News

Wall Street closed sharply higher on Friday buoyed by strong second-quarter earnings results. Market participants concern over higher inflation and slowing global growth due to the highly infectious Delta variant of COVID-19 virus were more than offset by soaring profits of corporate America. All the three major stock indexes ended at record high levels. For the week as a whole, these indexes finished in the green.

How Did The Benchmarks Perform?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) surged 0.8% or 238.20 points to close at 35,061.55. Notably, 24 components of the 30-stock index ended in the green while 6 in red. This was the first ever closing of the blue-chip index above a key technical barrier of 35,000. In intraday trade, the index recorded an all-time high of 35,095.33.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite finished at 14,836.99, climbing 1% or 152.39 points due to strong performance by large-cap technology stocks. The teach-laden index has registered a new closing high. In intraday trade, the index posted an all-time high of 14,846.06.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 moved up 1% to end at 4,411.79, marking a new closing high.  In intraday trade, the benchmark index recorded an all-time high of 4,415.18. The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR (XLC), the Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU), the Consumer Staple Select Sector SPDR (XLP) and the Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) surged 2.8%, 1.3%, 1.2%, and 1.2%, respectively . Ten out of eleven sectors of the broad-market index closed in green while one in red.

The fear-gauge CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) was down  2.8% to 17.20. A total of 9.72 billion shares were traded on Friday, lower than the last 20-session average of 10.14 billion. Advancersoutnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 1.59-to-1 ratio. On Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored advancing issues.

Impressive Q2 Earnings Results

As of Jul 23, 120 companies of the S&P 500 Index reported results. Total earnings of these companies were up 118.9% year over year on 18.4% higher revenues. Moreover, 89.2% of these companies beat their earnings per share (EPS) estimates and 85% surpassed revenue estimates.

For the second quarter as a whole, total earnings of the S&P 500 Index are expected to be up 74.3% year over year on 20% higher revenues. This indicates an improvement over the initial projection of EPS increasing 62.2% from the same period last year on 18.2% higher revenues.

Twitter Inc. (TWTR) reported adjusted earnings of $0.20 per share that beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 185.7%. Revenues surged 74% year over year to $1.19 billion and surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 12.1%. The top-line growth was driven by strength in brand advertising as well as accelerating year-over-year growth in Mobile App Promotion revenues.

Snap Inc. (SNAP) reported adjusted earnings of $0.10 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.02 per share. Revenues jumped 116.2% from the year-ago quarter to $982.1 million, surpassing the consensus mark by 17.1%. The top-line was benefited from increasing ARPU and user base growth. Daily active users at the end of the reported quarter were 293 million, up 13 million sequentially.

Consequently, shares of Twitter and Snap jumped 3.1% and 23.8%, respectively. Snap carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You Can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Weekly Roundup

Last week was an interesting one in Wall Street. On Monday, U.S. stock markets plunged. The Dow recorded its worst single-day decline since October 2020 while both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite posted biggest single-day drop since May 2021.

Resurgence of the highly infectious Delta variant of the coronavirus and mounting inflation in the United States raised severe concerned about global economic recovery. However, in the subsequent four days, Wall Street rebounds strongly supported by the impressive start of the second quarter earnings season.

Finally, the three major stock indexes – the Dow, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite – gained 1.1%, 2% and 2.8% in last week. The small-cap centric Russell 2000 also rallied 2.1%.

Corporate Summary

  • Schlumberger Ltd.‘s (SLB) shares rose 1.5% after the company reported second-quarter 2021 adjusted earnings per share of $0.30, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.26.
  • American Express Co.‘s (AXP) shares gained 1.3% after the company posted second-quarter 2021 adjusted earnings per share of $2.80, outpacing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.68.
  • Shares of NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) were up 1.4% after reporting second-quarter 2021 adjusted earnings per share of $0.71, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.67.
  • Shares of Roper Technologies Inc. (ROP) increased 1% after posting second-quarter 2021 adjusted earnings per share of $3.76, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.66.
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